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Journal of Infection

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Infection's content profile, based on 71 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.09% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Group A Streptococcus Molecular Point of Care testing in a Paediatric Emergency Department

Mills, E. A.; Bingham, R.; Nijman, R. G.; Sriskandan, S.

2026-04-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351279 medRxiv
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BackgroundAn upsurge in Streptococcus pyogenes infections 2022-2023 highlighted potential benefits of point-of-care tests (POCT) to support clinical pathways, prevent outbreaks, and optimise antibiotic use. ObjectivesWe conducted a pilot research study in a west London paediatric emergency department (ED) to determine whether a molecular POCT had potential to alter management in children who were also having a conventional throat swab taken for culture. MethodsChildren <16 years presenting to ED who had a throat swab requested by a clinician were invited to have a second swab taken for research purposes only. Clinical management was unaffected by the research swab result, which was processed using a molecular POCT that was not approved for use in the host NHS Trust. ResultsPrevalence of streptococcal infection was low during the study (May 2023-June 2025); swab positivity in symptomatic children was 12.8% (6/47). Overall, 38/49 (77.6%) participants who had throat swabs received antibiotics. Of those children recommended to receive antibiotics, 29/38 (76.3%) had a negative POCT. Mean time to reporting of positive throat swab culture results was 3.67 days (range 3-5 days) leading to occasional delay in treatment, although POCT identified positive results within minutes. ConclusionAntibiotic use was frequent and could be avoided or stopped by use of a rule out POCT in over three-quarters of children in the ED, if suspicion of S. pyogenes is the main driver for prescribing. POCT were easy to process and produced immediate results compared with culture, in theory enabling timely decision-making and avoiding treatment delay.

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Risk Factors for Antimicrobial Resistance in Cancer Patients and Cancer Survivors: An Electronic Health Record Study

Hu, F.; Wei, J.; Muller-Pebody, B.; Hope, R.; Brown, C.; Carreira, H.; Demirjian, A.; Walker, A. S.; Eyre, D. W.

2026-04-25 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351097 medRxiv
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Objectives: To identifiy risk factors for antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in seven pathogen-antimicrobial combinations in patients with cancer and cancer survivors. Methods: Using data from patients with recent or past cancer diagnostic codes in Oxfordshire, UK, we examined associations between 22 potential risk-factors and AMR in blood culture isolates, collected between 1-April-2015 and 31-March-2025. Results: Among 5,975 bacteraemias in 4,365 adults, we analysed 3,141 (52.6%) due to Enterobacterales and 620 (10.4%) due to Enterococcus faecalis/faecium in 2,752 patients. Fourteen risk-factors for antimicrobial-resistant bacteraemia were identified, varying across pathogen-antimicrobial combinations. Compared with no previous antimicrobial susceptibility test result, prior resistance to the same antibiotic in any culture in the last year was strongly associated with AMR across all pathogen-antimicrobial combinations (all p<=0.001). Prior antibiotic exposure and younger age were also positively associated with AMR in four and five combinations, respectively. Cancer type showed modest effects; lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies were associated with higher odds (vs colorectal cancer) of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole-resistant Enterobacterales (aOR=2.07 95%CI 1.40-3.06) and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus bacteraemia (aOR=6.68, 1.21-36.91). Conclusions: Previous resistance was the greatest risk factor for bacteraemia with AMR in cancer patients and survivors, with prior antibiotic exposure and age also contributing. Lymphoid/haematopoietic malignancies increased risk of resistance to specific antimicrobials. Keywords: antimicrobial resistance, bacteraemia, cancer, risk factors

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Oral and plasma microbiome in the context of acute febrile illness

Sy, M.; Ndiaye, T.; Thakur, R.; Gaye, A.; Levine, Z. C.; Ngom, B.; Bellavia, K. L.; Firer, D.; Toure, M.; Ndiaye, I. M.; Diedhiou, Y.; Mbaye, A. M.; Gomis, J. F.; DeRuff, K. C.; Deme, A. B.; Ndiaye, M.; Badiane, A. S.; Paye, M. F.; Sabeti, P. C.; Ndiaye, D.; Siddle, K. J.

2026-04-20 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351042 medRxiv
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Emerging infectious diseases and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) have surfaced as two major public health threats over the past two decades. Consequently, integrative surveillance systems capable of detecting both emerging pathogens and resistance-carrying bacteria are crucial. With advances in next-generation sequencing, simultaneous detection of pathogens and AMR is increasingly feasible. In this study, we used short-read metatranscriptomics complemented by total 16S rRNA metagenomic long-read sequencing to analyze paired oral and plasma samples from a cohort of febrile individuals at two locations in Senegal. Oral microbiomes differed in community composition between locations, and reduced diversity and richness were significantly associated with high fever. We identified at least one known pathogen in 15.33 % (23/150) of samples, with Borrelia crocidurae as the most frequently detected pathogen. We detected both pathogenic and non-pathogenic viruses in oral (10/72) and plasma (09/78) samples. Finally, we observed a high frequency of genes associated with resistance and virulence: 10% of samples expressed at least one AMR gene (ARG), and 24% expressed virulence factor genes. Resistance to widely used beta-lactam antibiotics was the most prevalent. Our findings provide critical data on oral and plasma microbiomes in the context of acute febrile illness in Senegal while expanding understanding of circulating ARGs.

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ICU admission and mortality in adult patients with influenza A/H1N1-related pneumonia in Vietnam since the 2009 H1N1 pandemic: a 10-year cohort study

Ho, M. Q.; Duong, T. B.; Nguyen, T. L. N.; Tri, N. S.; Bui, T.; Thai, T. T.; Muscatello, D. J.; Sunjaya, A. J.; Chen, S.; Nguyen, N. T.; Nguyen, T. M.; Nguyen, A. T. K.; Duong, C. M.

2026-04-20 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351156 medRxiv
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The A(H1N1)pdm09 virus remains a major global health threat. This study examined the burden of ICU admission, mortality, and associated predictors among patients with A(H1N1)pdm09 pneumonia in a leading center for infectious diseases in Vietnam. Information on demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics, and outcomes was retrieved from medical records of adults admitted with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 during 2009-2019. Among 729 cases, 21.7% (158/729) developed pneumonia. Among 158 pneumonia cases, 36.7% (58/158) developed moderate-to-severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and 15.2% (24/158) received invasive ventilation. ICU admission and mortality rates were 48.7% (77/158, 95%CI 41.1-56.5%) and 8.2% (13/158, 95%CI 4.9-13.6%), respectively. Predictors of ICU admission included being >60 years old (adjusted OR [AOR] 13.864, 95%CI 2.185-87.956, P=0.005), comorbidities (AOR 6.527, 95%CI 1.710-24.915, P=0.006), AST (AOR 1.013, 95%CI 1.001-1.025, P=0.029), and moderate-to-severe ARDS (AOR 14.027, 95%CI 4.220-46.627, P<0.001). Predictors of mortality were invasive ventilation (AOR 55.355, 95%CI 1.486-2062.375, P=0.030) and double-dose oseltamivir or combination therapy (AOR 32.625, 95%CI 1.594-667.661, P=0.024). In conclusion, mortality is not rare in A(H1N1)pdm09 infection. Monitoring of older patients and those with comorbidities, liver enzyme elevation, or moderate-to-severe ARDS is essential for the timely detection of complications requiring intensive care.

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Breath aerosol PCR for detection of lower respiratory tract infections: Evaluation of a non-invasive face mask collector in pneumonia patients

Tiseo, K.; Dräger, S.; Santhosh Kumar, H.; Alkhazashvili, M.; Hammann, A.; Risch, P.; Willi, R.; Mkhatvari, T.; Fialova, C.; Adlhart, C.; Szabo, D.; Suknidze, M.; Patchkoria, I.; Broger, T.; Ivanova Reipold, E.; Varshanidze, K.; Osthoff, M.

2026-04-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351117 medRxiv
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1.Etiological diagnosis of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) relies on sputum or bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL), which may be difficult to obtain or invasive. Exhaled breath aerosol (XBA) sampling offers a non-invasive alternative for pathogen detection. We evaluated the performance of the AveloMask, a face mask-based device designed to capture XBAs for molecular testing. In this prospective paired-sample study, hospitalized adults with pneumonia at three hospitals in Switzerland and Georgia provided an XBA sample using the AveloMask and a lower respiratory tract (LRT) specimen (sputum or BAL). XBA samples were analyzed by multiplex PCR using the Roche LightMix(R) panel and LRT samples were tested using the BioFire(R) FilmArray(R) Pneumonia Panel. Concordance between XBA and LRT samples was assessed using positive percent agreement (PPA), negative percent agreement (NPA), and overall percent agreement (OPA). Ninety-three participants were enrolled and 63 participants provided paired samples. AveloMask sampling identified the dominant pathogen (lowest Ct value in the LRT sample) in 40/47 LRT-positive cases (85.1%). Across all targets, PPA was 61% (95%CI, 50-72%), NPA was 100% (95%CI, 99-100%), and OPA was 95% (95% CI, 92-96%). PPA was higher for bacteria than for viruses and lower PPA was largely driven by reduced detection of low-abundance or co-infecting pathogens. In a subset analysis, AveloMask results showed substantial overlap with standard-of-care testing and could have supported antimicrobial de-escalation. Breath aerosol sampling using the AveloMask enabled non-invasive molecular detection of LRT pathogens in pneumonia cases and may complement conventional standard-of-care testing, particularly when sputum is unavailable.

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Tongue swab Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra testing for tuberculosis in adolescents: a cross-sectional study of diagnostic accuracy and acceptability

MacLean, E. L.; Ma, T. T.; Chuong, L. H.; Minh, K. H.; Hoddinott, G.; Pham, Y. N.; Tiep, H. T.; Nguyen, T.-A.; Fox, G.; Nguyen, N. T.

2026-04-25 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351119 medRxiv
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Introduction Improved diagnostics are needed for people at risk of tuberculosis, especially adolescents. Tongue swab (TS) molecular testing has emerged as a promising strategy for tuberculosis diagnosis. We evaluated diagnostic accuracy and acceptability of Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert) using TS samples for tuberculosis detection among adolescents. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study with consecutive recruitment in Vietnam. Adolescents aged 10-19 who were recommended to undergo investigation for tuberculosis and had not received tuberculosis treatment in the past years were eligible. Participants provided TS and sputum samples and completed a structured survey regarding sampling experiences. TS was tested on Xpert, with sputum tested on Xpert and liquid culture. We utilised a composite reference standard of a positive result on sputum Xpert or sputum culture to define disease status. Sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic yield were calculated for TS Xpert. Results From July to December 2025, we enrolled 225 adolescents from Can Tho and An Giang provinces in southern Vietnam. Fewer than half (96/225, 43%) the participants exhibited a tuberculosis -like symptom, and the majority (157/225, 70%) were close contacts of a person recently diagnosed with tuberculosis. TS were collected from all adolescents, while 116 (52%) could provide mucopurulent sputum. Tuberculosis prevalence was relatively low (12/225, 5.3%). TS Xpert sensitivity (90% CI) and specificity (90% CI) were 58.3% (35.6, 78.0) and 99.5% (97.9, 99.9), respectively. Diagnostic yield among all diagnosed was 58.3% (7/12). TS sampling was highly acceptable to adolescents; the short time and simplicity of collecting TS were considered favourably. Conclusions The sensitivity and diagnostic yield of TS Xpert was relatively low among adolescents recommended for tuberculosis investigation, which includes asymptomatic individuals who may not provide high quality sputum. Specificity was excellent, and everyone could provide a TS. TS high acceptability indicates it remains a promising sample for diagnostic algorithms.

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Immunogenicity and tolerability of booster typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) five to six years after initial dose in Burkinabe Children

Sawadogo, J. W.; Hema, A.; Diarra, A.; Kabore, J. M.; Hien, D.; Kouraogo, L.; Zou, A. R.; Ouedraogo, A. Z.; Tiono, A. B.; Datta, S.; Pasetti, M. F.; Neuzil, K. M.; Sirima, S. B.; Ouedraogo, A.; Laurens, M. B.

2026-04-21 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351224 medRxiv
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Typhoid fever remains a significant public health challenge in low- and middle-income countries. In 2018, The World Health Organization recommended a single dose typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) for routine immunization in endemic settings; however, evidence guiding booster doses remains limited. Homologous TCV booster doses have demonstrated immune boosting. This study assessed the immunogenicity and safety of a heterologous booster using a Vi capsular polysaccharide-CRM197 TCV (Vi-CRM) administered 5-6 years after primary vaccination with a Vi capsular polysaccharide tetanus toxoid TCV (Vi-TT) in children. Children previously enrolled in a Phase 2 trial were recruited. Participants who had received TCV at 9-11 or 15-23 months were given a Vi-CRM booster at 6-7 years of age (Booster-TCV group), and controls received their first TCV dose at the same age (1st-TCV group). Serum anti-Vi IgG concentrations were measured at baseline and 28 days post-vaccination. Solicited and unsolicited adverse events (AEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs) were recorded. Among 147 children enrolled, 87 received a second and 60 received a first TCV dose. Baseline anti-Vi IgG geometric mean titers (GMT) were higher in the Booster-TCV group (21.5 EU/mL; 95% CI: 17.2-26.8) than in the 1st-TCV group (5.5 EU/mL; 95% CI: 4.5-6.7). At day 28, GMTs rose markedly in both groups: 5140.0 EU/mL (95% CI: 4302.0-6141.3) in the Booster-TCV group and 2084.8 EU/mL (95% CI: 1724.4-2520.5) in the 1st-TCV group. Local reactions and systemic AEs were mild. No SAEs were observed. Vi-TT-induced immunity persisted for at least 5-6 years, and a heterologous booster triggered a strong immune response with universal seroconversion. These findings support heterologous prime-boost strategies to maintain protection in school-age children and inform optimization of TCV schedules in endemic regions.

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Retrospective analysis of clinical and environmental genotyping reveals persistence of Pseudomonas aeruginosa in the water system of a large tertiary children's hospital in England

Sheth, E.; Case, L.; Shaw, F.; Dwyer, N.; Poland, J.; Wan, Y.; Larru, B.

2026-04-24 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351604 medRxiv
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Background Pseudomonas aeruginosa is a major cause of healthcare-associated infections in paediatric settings, where its persistence in moist environments such as hospital water and wastewater systems poses a particular risk to neonates and immunocompromised children. Aim The aim of this study was to showcase the long-term survival and transmission of P. aeruginosa in a large tertiary children's hospital in England which is crucial to develop strategies for water-safe care. Methods Environmental P. aeruginosa isolates were collected from taps, sinks, showers, and baths in augmented care areas of a 330-bed tertiary children's hospital built to NHS water-safety standards. Clinical isolates were classified as invasive (blood, cerebrospinal fluid, and bronchoalveolar lavage) or non-invasive (respiratory, urine, ear, abdominal, and rectal surveillance). Variable number tandem repeat (VNTR) profiles and metadata were extracted from PDF reports, de-identified, deduplicated, and curated using Python and R. Findings This retrospective study analysed nine-locus VNTR profiles of 457 P. aeruginosa isolates submitted to the UK Health Security Agency from a large tertiary children's hospital, identifying 56 isolate clusters (each with [&ge;]2 isolates), of which 19 (34%) contained at least one invasive isolate. The most persistent cluster (Cluster 1, n=20) spanned from July 2016 to September 2024, containing environmental and clinical (invasive and non-invasive) isolates. Conclusion These findings demonstrate long-term persistence of certain genotypes and temporal overlap between environmental and clinical isolates, highlighting the difficulty in detecting and eradicating P. aeruginosa in hospital water and wastewater systems and reinforcing the need for continuous rigorous water system controls.

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Development of a Monoclonal Antibody and a Sandwich-ELISA for the Detection of Mucormycosis in Humans

Thornton, C. R.; Davies, G. E.

2026-04-23 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351301 medRxiv
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Background: Mucormycosis is a rapidly progressive and often fatal invasive fungal infection caused by moulds in the order, Mucorales. Early diagnosis is essential for effective clinical management; however, conventional diagnostic approaches such as culture and histopathology are slow, insensitive, and require specialist mycological expertise. Although molecular methods are available for disease detection, they are not widely accessible. At present, no enzyme immunoassay (EIA) exists for the detection of mucormycosis. Methods: A murine IgG1 monoclonal antibody (mAb), FH12, was generated against extracellular polysaccharides (EPSs) produced by Mucorales pathogens during active growth. The antibody was characterised for specificity, epitope stability, and antigen localisation using ELISA, immunoblotting, and immunofluorescence techniques. The mAb was incorporated into a Sandwich-ELISA and evaluated using culture filtrates, purified EPSs spiked into human serum, and tissue homogenates from a patient with cutaneous mucormycosis caused by Lichtheimia ramosa. Results: mAb FH12 demonstrated pan-Mucorales specificity and no cross-reactivity with other clinically relevant yeasts and moulds. The epitope recognised by FH12 is periodate-insensitive and moderately heat-stable. The Sandwich-ELISA detected EPS antigens in human serum with limits of detection ranging from pg/mL to low ng/mL levels, and successfully identified the EPS biomarker in patient tissue homogenates. Conclusion: The FH12-based Sandwich-ELISA shows high sensitivity and specificity, and has the potential to be used as a laboratory-based adjunct diagnostic test for the detection of mucormycosis in humans.

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Analytical performance of a multi-target open real-time PCR assay for simultaneous detection of tuberculosis, non-tuberculous mycobacteria, and drug resistance in a high-burden setting

Sidiq, Z.; Tyagi, P.; Anand, A.; Dwivedi, K. K.; Rajpal, S.; Chopra, K. K.

2026-04-24 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351557 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Timely diagnosis of tuberculosis and drug resistance remains a cornerstone of effective disease control. Multiplex open molecular platforms capable of simultaneously detecting Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBc), non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), and resistance to first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs could streamline diagnostic pathways. Methods We conducted a laboratory-based evaluation of two multiplex real-time PCR assays (MTBc/NTM R-Gene and MTB-RIF/INH R-Gene) using 300 well-characterized samples, including 150 MTBc-positive culture isolates (including rifampicin-resistant, isoniazid-resistant, and drug-susceptible strains) and 150 MTBc-negative samples (50 NTM isolates and 100 mycobacteria-negative specimens). Composite reference standards included culture, MPT64 antigen testing, and line probe assay corroborated by phenotypic drug susceptibility testing for resistance profiling, with NTM speciation performed using a dedicated line probe assay. DNA extraction was performed using the QIAamp DNA Mini Kit (QIAGEN, Germany), followed by amplification on a real-time PCR platform according to manufacturer instructions. The diagnostic performance was assessed against composite reference standards. Results The analytical performance for detecting MTBc demonstrated 100% sensitivity and specificity (150/150). NTM detection showed 70.0% sensitivity (35/50) and a specificity of 100%, highlighting limitations in coverage of NTM species. Rifampicin resistance was detected with a sensitivity of 96.0% (48/50) and specificity of 100%, whereas isoniazid resistance detection was 100% sensitive and specific (50/50). Agreement with established reference standards was high ({kappa}=0.76-1.00) within this analytical context. Interpretation This analytical validation demonstrates that multiplex open real-time PCR assays can accurately and simultaneously detect MTBc, NTM, and rifampicin and isoniazid resistance using culture isolates. While these platforms offer potential advantages in flexibility and expanded resistance profiling, additional studies on clinical diagnostic accuracy, cost-effectiveness analyses, and operational feasibility are required to determine their practical utility and programmatic impact in high-burden settings

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The evolving epidemiology of scrub typhus in Thailand (2003-2024): insights from latent process modelling of national surveillance data

Wongnak, P.; Chaisiri, K.; Perrone, C.; Chalvet-Monfray, K.; Areechokchai, D.; Pan-ngum, W.

2026-04-21 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351270 medRxiv
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BackgroundScrub typhus is a major yet neglected vector-borne disease in Thailand, where it has been nationally notifiable for over two decades. However, long-term changes in its epidemiology, including reporting rates, transmission intensity, disease severity, and seasonal patterns, have not been comprehensively characterised at the national level. MethodologyWe analysed 22 years of national surveillance data for scrub typhus in Thailand (2003-2024) using a latent process model that jointly fits reported cases with published nationwide seroprevalence data and antibody kinetics to estimate reporting rates and underlying transmission dynamics across all 77 provinces of Thailand. FindingsOver the 22-year study period, 143096 cases and 119 deaths were reported nationally. Estimated reporting proportion broadly mirrored transmission intensity, being higher in high-burden regions and lower elsewhere. A synchronous decline in detection was observed across all regions during the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by rapid rebound by 2024. After accounting for these reporting dynamics, the force of infection was highest in the northern provinces but also substantial in the northeast and south, with upward trends in some provinces. Susceptibility among older adults aged 65 and above increased progressively over the study period, reversing the pattern observed two decades earlier. Case-fatality in the 25-35-year reference group was low and declined from 0.14% (95% Credible Interval [CrI]: 0.06-0.29%) to 0.06% (95% CrI: 0.02-0.12%), but relative case-fatality remained consistently highest among adults above 65 across all periods. Three geographically distinct seasonal patterns were identified, all stable over time. ConclusionOver two decades, scrub typhus transmission in Thailand has been shown to extend well beyond its traditionally recognised northern focus, with substantial burden in previously underappreciated regions, while the demographic profile of those most affected has shifted progressively toward older adults. These findings support the need for regionally tailored surveillance, age-targeted clinical preparedness, and sustained investment in understanding the ecological drivers of transmission. Key messagesScrub typhus is a common but neglected cause of fever in Thailand, where it has been reported through the national surveillance system for over two decades. However, trends in reported cases can be misleading because they reflect not only true changes in transmission but also variation in diagnosis and reporting over time and across regions. We developed a model that combines surveillance data with seroprevalence surveys and antibody kinetics to separate true changes in transmission from variation in reporting, allowing us to estimate how transmission intensity, disease severity, and seasonal patterns have evolved from 2003 to 2024 across all 77 provinces. We found that substantial transmission occurs not only in the well-studied northern provinces but also in the northeast and south, where the disease has received less attention. Susceptibility has progressively shifted toward older adults, who also face the highest case-fatality, while three distinct seasonal patterns vary by region but have remained stable over time. These findings suggest that scrub typhus control in Thailand requires a shift from a predominantly northern focus toward regionally tailored strategies that account for local transmission timing, an ageing at-risk population, and the ecological drivers that sustain transmission in each setting.

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Diagnostic Classification for Long Covid Patients identifying Persistent Virus and Hyperimmune Pathophysiologies

James-Pemberton, P.; Harper, D.; Wagerfield, P.; Watson, C.; Hervada, L.; Kohli, S.; Alder, S.; Shaw, A.

2026-04-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351402 medRxiv
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A multiplex diagnostic test is evaluated for self-reported long COVID associated persistent symptoms and a poor recovery from a SARS-CoV-2 infection. A mass-standardised concentration of total antibodies (AC), high-quality (HQ) antibodies and percentage of HQ antibodies (HQ%) is assessed against a spectrum of spike proteins to the SARS-CoV-2 variants: Wuhan, , {delta}, and the Omicron variants BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.2.75, BA.5, CH.1.1, BQ.1.1 and XBB.1.5 in three cohorts. A cohort of control patients (n = 46) recovered (CC) and a cohort of self-declared long COVID patients (n = 113) (LCC). A nested Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, performed for the variant with lowest HQ concentration in the spectrum, produced an area under the curve and AUC = 0.61 (0.53-0.70) for the CC vs LCC cohorts. For the LCC cohort, the cut-off thresholds for AC = 0.8 mg/L, HQ = 1.5 mg/L and HQ% of 34% were determined, leading to a 71% sensitivity and 66% specificity derived by the Youden metric. The cohorts may be fully classified based on ROC and outlier analysis to give an incidence of persistent virus 62% (95% CI 52% - 71%), hyperimmune 12% (95% CI 7% - 20%) and unclassified, 26% (95% CI 18% - 35%). The overall diagnostic accuracy for both the hyper and hypo immune is 69%. All clinical interventions can now be tailored for the heterogenous long COVID patient cohort.

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Tongue swab-based Targeted Universal Tuberculosis Testing in people living with HIV in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Olson, A. M.; Wood, R. C.; Sithole, N.; Govender, I.; Grant, A. D.; Smit, T.; David, A.; Stevens, W.; Scott, L.; Drain, P. K.; Cangelosi, G. A.; Shapiro, A. E.

2026-04-25 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351084 medRxiv
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Background. Targeted Universal Tuberculosis Testing (TUTT) may increase tuberculosis (TB) case detection by including people who are not actively seeking TB care but are at high risk of the disease. Non-invasive tongue swab (TS) testing may facilitate TUTT. We evaluated two TS testing protocols in people with HIV (PWH) tested irrespective of TB symptoms. Methods. Study staff collected Copan FLOQSwab and Medline foam swab specimens, alongside urine and sputa, from PWH, most of whom were presenting for antiretroviral therapy initiation at primary healthcare clinics in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. FLOQSwabs were tested by sequence-specific magnetic capture (SSMaC) with qPCR (FLOQSwab-SSMaC). Foam swabs were tested by centrifuge-sedimentation and high-volume qPCR (foam-sedimentation). Urine lipoarabinomannan was detected using LF-LAM. The extended microbiological reference standard (eMRS) comprised any positive result on Xpert Ultra and/or liquid culture of sputum. Results. We enrolled 251 participants (median age 34 years, 56% female, 67% with self-reported TB symptoms). Participants had a median CD4 count of 347 cells/ul, and 16% (40/251) had prior TB. FLOQSwab-SSMaC was 43% sensitive (13/30) and 100% specific (131/131) relative to eMRS. Foam-sedimentation was 47% (9/29) sensitive and 100% (176/176) specific. Sensitivity increased to 52% (FLOQSwab-SSMaC) and 50% (foam-sedimentation) when sputum Xpert Ultra Trace positive results were excluded from eMRS. TS was more sensitive than urine LAM, and both sample types were more sensitive when CD4 counts were below 200. Discussion. TS testing detected about half of PWH with TB and outperformed urine LAM within this population, including among PWH with low CD4 counts.

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A surrogate marker of protection confirms the efficacy of an AddaS03-adjuvanted West Nile virus subunit vaccine

Inoue, A.; Saito, S.; Maeda, K.; Itakura, Y.; Kobayashi, S.; Sasaki, M.; Gonzalez, G.; Hall, W. W.; Maenaka, K.; Orba, Y.; Sawa, H.; Tabata, K.

2026-04-21 microbiology 10.64898/2026.04.20.719748 medRxiv
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West Nile virus (WNV) is the causative agent of fatal West Nile encephalitis. To date, no human vaccine against WNV has been approved. Adjuvants are important for developing effective and affordable vaccines that enhance the immunogenicity and decrease the required antigen doses. In this study, we assessed the efficacy of AddaS03, a synthetic adjuvant analogous to AS03, in a WNV subunit vaccine composed of soluble recombinant envelope protein (sEnv). Using a passive immunization mouse model, we defined the neutralizing antibody titer threshold required for protection against lethal WNV infections and applied this threshold as a surrogate marker to evaluate adjuvant efficacy. AddaS03-adjuvanted formulations elicited markedly higher neutralizing antibody titers compared to Alhydrogel adjuvant 2% (Alhydrogel), even at suboptimal antigen doses, and consistently exceeded the defined protective threshold titer. Moreover, in a sequential challenge mouse model, AddaS03-adjuvanted vaccines completely protected mice from symptomatic WNV infections, whereas Alhydrogel-adjuvanted vaccines failed to confer full protection. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that AddaS03 is a promising adjuvant for WNV subunit vaccine development and highlights the utility of a passive immunization model for defining protective antibody thresholds as a surrogate marker for vaccine evaluation.

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Impact of Azithromycin Administration at Hospital Discharge on Antimicrobial Resistance and Enteropathogen Carriage 3 Months Following Treatment

Mogeni, P.; Ochieng, J. B.; Kariuki, K.; Rwigi, D.; Atlas, H. E.; Tickell, K. D.; Aluoch, L. R.; Sonye, C.; Apondi, E.; Ambila, L.; Diakhate, M. M.; Singa, B. O.; Liu, J.; Platts-Mills, J. A.; Saidi, Q.; Denno, D. M.; Fang, F. C.; Walson, J. L.; Houpt, E. R.; Pavlinac, P. B.

2026-04-20 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351054 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe Toto Bora trial tested whether a course of azithromycin reduced rates of re-hospitalization or death in the 6 months following hospitalization among Kenyan children. We hypothesized that azithromycin would reduce enteric bacteria and increase carriage of macrolide resistance in the subsequent 3 months. MethodsKenyan children (1-59 months) hospitalized and subsequently discharged for non-traumatic conditions provided fecal samples before and 3 months after randomization to a 5-day course of azithromycin or placebo. Quantitative PCR identified enteropathogens and AMR-conferring genes in fecal samples. Generalized estimating equations assessed the impact of the randomization arm on pathogen and resistance gene detection, accounting for baseline presence and site. ResultsAmong 1,393 baseline stools, 12.4% had at least one bacterial enteropathogen, 94.7% had at least one macrolide-resistance gene, and 92.6% had at least one beta-lactamase-resistance gene identified. At month 3, children randomized to azithromycin had a 6.1% higher likelihood of carrying a macrolide resistance gene compared to placebo (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR], 1.06; 95% CI, 1.04-1.08; P<0.001). Specifically, azithromycin randomization was associated with a higher relative prevalence of erm(B) (aPR, 1.09 [95% CI, 1.04-1.15]; P=0.001), erm(C) (aPR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.14-1.31]; P<0.001), msr(A) (aPR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.04-1.25]; P=0.007), and msr(D) (aPR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.03-1.11]; P=0.001). There was no difference in overall bacterial pathogen prevalence (18.9% vs 17.3%) between randomization arms, but a slightly lower proportion of children had Shigella after randomization in the azithromycin arm (3% vs. 5%, aPR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62, 1.01]; P=0.063). InterpretationAzithromycin at hospital discharge was associated with higher carriage of macrolide-resistance-conferring genes in the post-discharge period compared with placebo, without significant declines in enteric pathogen carriage other than modest changes to Shigella. The potential benefits and risks of empiric azithromycin need to be considered, as children are increasingly exposed to this broad-spectrum antibiotic.

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Identifying clinician perceived priorities for a real-time wearable system for in-hospital monitoring: findings and evolutions following the COVID-19 pandemic

Vollam, S.; Roman, C.; King, E.; Tarassenko, L.

2026-04-24 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.21.26350610 medRxiv
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A Wearable Monitoring System (WMS), comprising a chest patch, wrist-worn pulse oximeter, and arm-worn blood pressure device, was developed in preparation for a pilot Randomised Controlled Trial (RCT) on a UK surgical ward. The system was designed to support continuous physiological monitoring and early detection of deterioration. An initial prototype user interface was developed by the research team based on prior clinical experience and engineering knowledge. To ensure suitability for clinical practice, iterative user-centred refinement was undertaken through a series of clinician focus groups and wearability assessments. Six focus groups were conducted between November 2019 and May 2021 involving multidisciplinary healthcare professionals. Feedback from these sessions informed successive interface and system modifications. System development spanned the COVID-19 pandemic, during which the WMS was rapidly adapted and deployed to support clinical care on isolation wards. Feedback obtained during this period was incorporated into later versions of the system and provided a unique opportunity to examine changes in clinician priorities under pandemic conditions. Clinicians consistently prioritised alert visibility, alarm fatigue mitigation, parameter flexibility, and centralised monitoring. Notably, preferences regarding alert modality and access mechanisms evolved over time: early enthusiasm for mobile or smartphone-type devices shifted towards a preference for fixed, ward-based displays and audible alerts at the nurses station following pandemic deployment. Building on previous wearability testing in healthy volunteers, wearability testing using a validated questionnaire was completed by 169 patient participants during the RCT. The chest patch and pulse oximeter demonstrated high tolerability, whereas the blood pressure cuff showed poor wearability and was removed from the final system. These findings demonstrate the importance of iterative, clinician-led design for wearable WMS and highlight how extreme clinical contexts such as the COVID-19 pandemic can significantly reshape perceived requirements for safety-critical monitoring technologies.

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Hemagglutination inhibition and alternate serologic responses following Influenza A(H3N2) virus infection

Chen, B.; Zambrana, J. V.; Shotwell, A.; Sanchez, N.; Plazaola, M.; Ojeda, S.; Lopez, R.; Stadlbauer, D.; Kuan, G.; Balmaseda, A.; Krammer, F.; Gordon, A.

2026-04-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351404 medRxiv
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Background: Although the hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) titer remains the gold standard correlate of protection against influenza, it does not fully capture the broader antibody responses that contribute to immunity. Methods: We analyzed immune responses in paired pre-infection and convalescent sera from 306 RT-PCR-confirmed A/H3N2 infections from two household studies (2014-18) in Managua, Nicaragua. Antibody responses were measured by HAI and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) against full-length hemagglutinin (HA), the HA stalk, and neuraminidase (NA). Participants were classified as HAI responders ([&ge;]4-fold HAI rise), alternate responders (no HAI rise but [&ge;]4-fold boost in [&ge;]1 ELISA), or no-response individuals (no [&ge;]4-fold rise in any assay). We compared demographic, clinical, and pre-infection antibody characteristics across these groups. We also analyzed predictors of an NA response. Results: Overall, 77% of participants had HAI seroconversion or a 4-fold rise. Among the 23% HAI non-responders, 62% had alternate antibody responses. No-response individuals had the highest pre-infection HAI and full-length HA titers (p < 0.0001), the lowest viral loads, and the fewest fever or influenza like illness (ILI) symptoms (p < 0.01). An NA response was more common among symptomatic individuals (p = 0.0483) and those with low or high baseline NA titers. Conclusions: High baseline HAI titers can limit detectable 4-fold rises and are associated with milder illness. Evaluating additional immune responses may capture a more complete picture of the host response to infection, thereby improving surveillance and informing vaccine development. Keywords: Influenza A/H3N2; Hemagglutination inhibition (HAI); Neuraminidase antibodies; symptomatic vs asymptomatic infection; correlates of protection.

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Flex-It: A global standardised genotyping framework for Shigella flexneri

Hawkey, J.; Nodari, C. S.; Iqbal, Z.; Hunt, M.; Wick, R. R.; Chong, C. E.; Jenkins, C.; Howden, B. P.; Holt, K.; Weill, F.-X.; Baker, K. S.; Ingle, D. J.

2026-04-20 microbiology 10.64898/2026.04.17.719127 medRxiv
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Shigella flexneri is the leading causative agent of shigellosis globally. The public health threat posed by S. flexneri is compounded by its emergence as a sexually transmissible infection, importance of international travel in driving dissemination, and the increasing prevalence of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). A rapid and robust computational method is needed to enhance genomic surveillance and systematically explore features of the population structure of this WHO priority pathogen, which is scalable and readily implementable across jurisdictions, particularly as vaccine development efforts are underway. Here, we present Flex-It, a genomic framework and genotyping scheme implemented in Mykrobe for S. flexneri serotypes 1-5, X & Y, compatible with previous approaches used to describe S. flexneris population structure. To develop Flex-It, we curated a retrospective dataset of 5,819 publicly available S. flexneri genomes. We characterised the global population structure for S. flexneri, exploring geographical and temporal traits, and showed the granular diversity of AMR and serotype profiles. We applied Flex-It to >13,000 genomes routinely generated by public health laboratories from Australia, the UK and the USA across a ten-year period. We found significant genotype diversity in all three locations, with the emergence of genotypes with converged resistance to all major drugs currently used for treatment. Flex-It provides an open-source, novel genotyping method that rapidly characterises S. flexneri and its ciprofloxacin resistance determinants in <1 minute from both short and long whole-genome sequencing reads. Flex-It provides the community with a standardised nomenclature to monitor the emergence and spread of S. flexneri lineages.

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Ethnic inequalities in respiratory virus epidemics in England: a mathematical modelling study

Robert, A.; Goodfellow, L.; Pellis, L.; van Leeuwen, E.; Edmunds, W. J.; Quilty, B. J.; van Zandvoort, K.; Eggo, R. M.

2026-04-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.18.26350858 medRxiv
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BackgroundIn England, the burden of respiratory infections varies by ethnicity, contributing to health inequalities, but the role of additional demographic factors remains underexplored. We quantified how differences in social mixing and demographic characteristics between ethnic groups cause inequalities in transmission dynamics. MethodsWe analysed the association between the ethnicity and the number of contacts of 12,484 participants in the 2024-2025 Reconnect social contact survey, using a negative binomial regression model. We simulated respiratory pathogen epidemics using a compartmental model stratified by age, ethnicity, and contact levels, at a national level and in major cities in England. FindingsAfter adjusting for demographic variables, participants of Black and Mixed ethnicities had more contacts than those of White ethnicity (rate ratios (RR): 1.18 [95% Credible Interval (CI): 1.11-1.26], and 1.31 [95% CI: 1.14-1.52]). Participants of Asian ethnicity had fewer contacts (RR: 0.85 [95% CI: 0.79-0.91]). In national-level simulations, individuals of White ethnicity had the lowest attack rates due to demographic differences and mixing patterns. Local demographic structures changed simulated dynamics: attack rates in individuals of Black and Mixed ethnicities were approximately double those of White ethnicity in Birmingham, but less than 60% higher in Liverpool. InterpretationDemographic characteristics and mixing patterns create inequalities in transmission dynamics between ethnicities, while local demographic characteristics and pathogen infectiousness change the expected relative burden. To ensure mitigation strategies are effective and equitable, their evaluation must explicitly account for inequalities arising from local context. FundingMedical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, Wellcome Trust Research in context Evidence before this studyWe searched PubMed for population-based studies quantifying differences in respiratory infections between ethnic groups, up to 1 April 2026, with no language restrictions. Keywords included: (respiratory pathogens OR influenza OR COVID-19) AND (ethnic* OR race) AND (inequ*) AND (compartmental model OR incidence rate ratio OR hazard ratio). We excluded studies that focused on non-respiratory pathogens (e.g. looking at consequences of COVID-19 on incidence of other pathogens). A population-based cohort study showed that influenza infection risk was higher in South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups compared to White ethnicity in England. Another population-based cohort study highlighted that during the first wave of COVID-19 in England, the South Asian, Black, and Mixed ethnic groups were more likely to test positive and to be hospitalised than the White ethnic group. Census data in England showed that the distributions of age, household size, household income and employment status differed between ethnic groups, and the recent Reconnect social contact surveys highlighted the impact of each demographic factor on the participants number of contacts. Added value of this studyOur study shows that social contact patterns, mixing, and demographic structure all lead to unequal infection risk between ethnic groups in respiratory pathogen epidemics. Using the largest available social contact survey in England, we show that both the average number of contacts and the proportion of high-contact individuals varied by ethnic group, even after adjusting for participants demographics. These differences, together with mixing patterns and age structure, led to lower expected incidence among individuals of White ethnicity than in all other ethnic groups in simulated outbreaks. The level of inequality between ethnic groups changed when we used different values of pathogen transmissibility. Finally, as ethnic composition and population structure differ between cities in England, our results show differences in expected inequalities at a local level. Implications of all the available evidenceInequalities in infection risk between ethnic groups are context- and pathogen-dependent. They arise from both local population structure and contact patterns. Detailed information on mixing between groups and population structure is needed to accurately measure group-specific infection risk. These findings indicate that public health interventions based only on national-level estimates conceal regional variation in risk and may ultimately increase inequalities. Public health interventions need to be tailored to local contexts to be equitable and effective. Finally, our findings provide a foundation for understanding the progression from infection-risk inequalities to disparities in disease presentation and clinical outcomes.

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Generalizing intensive care AI across time scales in resource-limited settings

Devadiga, A.; Singh, P.; Sankar, J.; Lodha, R.; Sethi, T.

2026-04-24 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351588 medRxiv
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Temporal resolution of physiological monitoring in intensive care varies widely across healthcare systems. Artificial intelligence models assume a uniform and fixed frequency of sampling, thus limiting the generalizability of models, especially to resource-limited settings. Here, we propose a novel resolution-transfer task for physiological time series and ask whether models trained on high-resolution data can generalize to a low data-density setting without the need to retrain them. SafeICU, a novel longitudinal pediatric intensive care dataset spanning ten years from a tertiary care hospital in India, was used to test this hypothesis. Self-supervised transformer models were trained on 144,271 patient-hours of high-resolution physiological signals from 984 pediatric ICU stays to learn representations of heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, and arterial blood pressure. Transfer of this model to low-resolution data established robust performance in clinically relevant lower-frequency intervals, consistently outperforming models trained directly at coarser resolutions. Further, these representations generalized across patient populations, maintaining performance when evaluated on adult intensive care cohorts from the MIMIC-III and eICU databases without retraining. In a downstream task of early shock prediction, models achieved strong discrimination in the pediatric cohort (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.87; area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) 0.92) and retained stable performance across monitoring intervals from 10 to 60 minutes (AUROC 0.78-0.88). Together, these results demonstrate that physiological representations learned from high-resolution data enable time-scale-robust and transferable AI for intensive care. The publicly released SafeICU dataset, comprising longitudinal vital signs, laboratory measurements, treatment records, microbiology, and admission and discharge, provides a foundation for developing and deploying generalizable clinical AI in resource-limited settings.